A look back at my 2025 College Football Predictions: An Exercise in Futility and Shame

We’re just over a week away from the start of the 2026 college football season, making it a perfect time for some self-reflection. It’s no secret that my predictions for college football are, at best, inconsistent, so let’s go back and see just how bad it really got. For the record, I don’t think anyone aside from Curt Cignetti thought that Indiana would be undefeated national champions at this time last year.

2025 Predictions vs Actual

Power 4 Conference Championships

ACC

  • Prediction: Clemson over Miami
  • Actual: Duke over Virginia

Big Ten

  • Prediction: Ohio State over Penn State
  • Actual: Indiana over Ohio State

Big 12

  • Prediction: Kansas State over Iowa State
  • Actual: Texas Tech over BYU

SEC

  • Prediction: Georgia over Texas
  • Actual: Georgia over Alabama

Participants: 2/8 Champions: 1/4 – 25% for both! Yikes.

The Clemson vs Penn State Pinstripe Bowl may as well have been named the “Misplaced Preseason Expectations” Bowl – and I fell for the hype as well. I also blame the ACC for having some truly baffling conference championship tiebreakers.

College Football Playoff:

Prediction:

  1. Texas
  2. Ohio State
  3. Clemson
  4. Penn State
  5. Georgia
  6. Notre Dame
  7. Alabama
  8. Kansas State
  9. Oregon
  10. Illinois
  11. South Carolina
  12. Tulane

Actual:

  1. Indiana
  2. Ohio State
  3. Georgia
  4. Texas Tech
  5. Oregon
  6. Ole Miss
  7. Texas A&M
  8. Oklahoma
  9. Alabama
  10. Miami (FL)
  11. Tulane
  12. James Madison

Prediction Accuracy: 5/12 – I will take credit for predicting Tulane.

Heisman Top 5:

Prediction:

  1. Cade Klubnik (QB, Clemson)
  2. Garrett Nussmeier (QB, LSU)
  3. Arch Manning (QB, Texas)
  4. Jeremiah Smith (WR, Ohio St.)
  5. LaNorris Sellers (QB, South Carolina)

Actual:

  1. Fernando Mendoza (QB, Indiana)
  2. Diego Pavia (QB, Vanderbilt)
  3. Jeremiyah Love (RB, Notre Dame)
  4. Julian Sayin (QB, Ohio State)
  5. Jacob Rodriguez (LB, Texas Tech)

Prediction Accuracy: 0/5 – Once again, I dare you to find someone who had quarterbacks from Indiana and Vanderbilt as the top two in Heisman voting at this time last year (with a linebacker in the Top 5 to boot!). I did have Love as an honorable mention and Sayin stole Smith’s votes, so this could have been a lot worse.

See you all in a few weeks for another round of prediction roulette, I mean the 2026 season preview. Here’s hoping a new season also makes me a better prognosticator.

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